LOLE 20132014						ELCC of MECL contracted wind generation
15-04-30
					Adjusted by	0	MW of load		Adjusted by	10	MW of load					LOLE 20142015			From LOLE 20132014			From LOLE 20122013			From LOLE 20112012			From LOLE 20102011
Given capacity			Fraction			With no wind generation			With	52	MW of wind					Effective Load			Effective Load			Effective Load			Effective Load			Effective Load			5 year
	Plus	Fraction	of time		Number of		Number of		Number of		Number of			MECL		Carrying Capacity			Carrying Capacity			Carrying Capacity			Carrying Capacity			Carrying Capacity			average
	150	of time	capacity		hours load		hours capacity		hours load		hours capacity			Installed			Percent			Percent			Percent			Percent			Percent		Percent
On-Island	MW from	given	equal to		is in next		is insufficient		minus wind		is insufficient			wind			of			of			of			of			of		of
capacity	mainland	capacity	or less		higher		to meet load		is in next		to meet load			capacity			installed			installed			installed			installed			installed		installed
(MW)	(MW)	available	than given		band		with no wind		higher band		minus wind			(MW)		(MW)	( % )		(MW)	( % )		(MW)	( % )		(MW)	( % )		(MW)	( % )		( % )
160	310	0.56097	0.99976		-		-		-		-			103		15	14.6		21	20.4		30	29.1		23	22.3		20	19.4		21.2
140	290	0.18699	0.43879		-		-		-		-			92		14	15.2		20	21.7		29	31.5		22	23.9		19	20.7		22.6
135	285	0.12466	0.25180		-		-		-		-			53		11	20.8		15	28.3		22	41.5		17	32.1		15	28.3		30.2
120	270	0.02078	0.12714		-		-		-		-			52		10	19.2		15	28.8		22	42.3		17	32.7		15	28.8		30.4
115	265	0.04155	0.10637		-		-		-		-
110	260	0.03645	0.06481		3		0.19		1		0.06
100	250	0.00077	0.02836		7		0.20		8		0.23
95	245	0.00462	0.02760		7		0.19		5		0.14
90	240	0.01215	0.02298		13		0.30		14		0.32
85	235	0.00656	0.01083		22		0.24		37		0.40
75	225	0.00017	0.00427		88		0.38		91		0.39
70	220	0.00135	0.00410		80		0.33		65		0.27
65	215	0.00219	0.00275		95		0.26		91		0.25
60	210	0.00036	0.00056		110		0.06		94		0.05
50	200	0.00005	0.00019		287		0.06		250		0.05
40	190	0.00012	0.00014		408		0.06		316		0.05
25	175	0.00001	0.00002		624		0.01		660		0.02
20	170	0.00001	0.00001		191		0.00		249		0.00
0	150	0.00000	0.00000		533		0.00		804		0.00
					2,468		2.28		2,685		2.22